| Overall | 16W 2L 1T |
| District | 10W 0L 0T |
| Expected | 16: 2+ 1- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
21 3 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1182 19 Strength Momentum |
698 57.8(16) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/24/15 | Capital !! | 0.000 | 947 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1568 | 83% |  |
| 08/27/15 | at Belen | 0.005 | 1170 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 1242 | 48% | |
| 09/01/15 | Hope Christian ? | 0.007 | 1348 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-3) | 1048 | 32% | |
| 09/04/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.019 | 1186 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1250 | 45% | |
| 09/15/15 | St. Pius ?? | 0.086 | 1282 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 1166 | 40% | |
| 09/18/15 | Santa Fe Indian | 0.018 | 686 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1438 | 98% | |
| 09/21/15 | at Monte del Sol | 0.067 | 698 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1260 | 95% | |
| 09/23/15 | at Taos | 0.109 | 952 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1335 | 75% | |
| 09/25/15 | at Desert Academy | 0.050 | 564 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1299 | 99% | |
| 09/28/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.180 | 654 | W 6- 0 | Expected (0) | 1206 | 98% | |
| 09/30/15 | Santa Fe | 0.211 | 877 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1318 | 88% | |
| 10/01/15 | at Santa Fe Indian | 0.082 | 686 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1360 | 96% | |
| 10/05/15 | ATC | 0.078 | 393 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1291 | 100% | |
| 10/07/15 | Desert Academy | 0.087 | 564 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1377 | 99% | |
| 10/13/15 | at ATC | 0.065 | 393 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1323 | 100% | |
| 10/14/15 | Monte del Sol ! | 0.118 | 698 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1444 | 97% | |
| 10/22/15 | Los Alamos | 0.985 | 1191 | T 2- 2 | Worse (0) | 1171 | 53% | |
| 10/23/15 | at Santa Fe Prep | 0.373 | 654 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1238 | 97% | |
| 10/24/15 | Bosque | 0.997 | 1089 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1170 | 67% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals St. Michael's actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 698, while
St. Michael's's "weighted playing strength" is 1222
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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